Monday Morning Optimism
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If you’re of the bold opinion that murder is bad, then great news! Homicides in the largest U.S. cities are down about 20% year to date.
In our hometown of Baltimore, for instance, murders are down 41%. About 90 minutes up I-95, Philadelphia has seen an even larger 41% decrease, and about 45 minutes down I-95, DC has seen a 24% drop.
This trend is bigger than just the northeast corridor. Of the ten U.S. cities with more than one million people, only one (Los Angeles) has experienced a year-to-date increase in murder, and of the 20 largest cities with available data, only Charlotte has seen a meaningful rise.
More broadly, violent crime increased during the pandemic (and from the low in the mid-2010s) but is still extremely low by historical standards and has trended lower over the past few years.
Looking Ahead
We’re currently working on part 2 of our election primer (you can read Part 1 here), and as always, we’ll have week in review out on Friday. That’s only for paying subscribers. If that’s not you and you want it to be, just click the button below.